Nifty 50 May See Some Bounce Back, But Bounce Back Vulnerable To Selling Pressure.

Indian benchmark index NSE Nifty 50 closed down 149 points to 10303 on the Friday trading session. The main index opens gap down 130 points to 10323 and keeps sliding thereafter to the day’s worst level of 10249 before finally settled to 10303.55.

On weekly time frame, the index has retreated previous week gains and mark weekly high and low of 10710.15 and 10249.60 respectively.

Nifty 50:-On the daily chart, the index has gap down opening followed by a weak closing for the day. The index is in correction phase and witnessed heavy sell off from its 200 days simple moving average. On candle stick front, Nifty forms a Doji candle signs neutrality in the coming time.

To fill the gap the index may see some pull back in the coming time. The index has nearest resistance at 10340 above that it may test 10380-10420-10460-10490 to the upside. The bears are in control of market and any pullback is vulnerable to selling pressure. The index has nearest support of 10270 below that it may test 10240-10210-10170-10130 in the coming time.

Bank Nifty: – The banking index retreats near by 50% of its previous weak gains and closed near its short term support of 24920. The index has nearest resistance at 25170 above that it may trend higher to 25280-25460-25580-25750 in the coming time, whereas below the support level of 24920 it may fall to 24800-24670-24490-24270 in near term.

USDINR: – The Rupee closed with the gains of 27 Paisa against the US Dollar on the Friday trading session. The currency pair marks the all-time high of 74.49 in the past week.

The currency pair is in overbought zone and has witnessed second consecutive weekly losses on the chart. The Rupee may see gaining more strength against the US Dollar in the coming time, if it maintains to keep trading below 73.75-74.00 in the coming time.

Bottom line: – Moneyites.com recommends market may see some pull back, But Any pull back is vulnerable to selling pressure till Nifty and Bank Nifty is trading below 10770 and 26000 respectively.

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Sell Theme in Nifty, Short Term Support at 10773.

Past week, we saw Nifty 50 continues the slide and made new weekly low of 10850 before finally settled at 10930 after loss of 47 points on the Friday trading session.

The index has registered 4th straight weekly losses on the chart and closed near the weekly low with the negative sentiments.

Nifty 50:- The index forms a bearish candle has shown third straight fall on the daily chart. The index trending downwards and additional sell off triggered after US hikes it interest rate policy last week.

The index fall around 900 points in Sep month, nearer to its 200 days simple moving average of 10773. The index has sell theme and may test the key support level in the coming time.

The index has nearest support at 10850 below that it may test 10810-10770-10745-10710 in the coming time. Whereas it has nearest resistance at 10960 above that it may test 11000-11030-11065-11085 in the short run.

Bank Nifty: – The banking index has nearest resistance at 24920 above that it may test 25000-25110-25250-25380 to the upside, whereas it has nearest support at 24750 below that it may test 24670-24560-24460-24370 in the coming time.

USDINR: – The Currency pair hovering near it key resistance level of 73 in the short run. An upside breakout may cause additional sell off in the market or holding below the level may hope of short term relief in the coming time.

Bottom line: – Moneyites.com recommends market to trade with negative biasness till it’s trading below 11200 for Nifty and 26000 for Bank Nifty in the short run. IT sector to be focused in short- term.

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Buy Nifty Put on Rise to Hedge Portfolio Form US Int Rate Policy, Resistance 11205.

The Indian Benchmark index rose 100 points to 11067 by the end of Tuesday trading session. The index open flat and keeping swinging between profit and losses before finally soars 100 points in the last hour and a half trade on news of infusing additional liquidity in the system through CRR cut.

All sector indices are closed in green exception to Realty sector, who’s down 1.72% for the day, whereas Nifty Pharma is the top gainer sector with 2.51%.

Nifty 50:- On Charts the index forms a bullish candle and closed near the day high with positive notes. The index breaks the losing streak after five days on news of aiding liquidity in the system.

The Interest rate policy in US is scheduled to announced today may set higher probability of hiking interest rate today which may further add selling pressure on the higher level.

The index has nearest resistance at 11110 above that it may test 11140-11170-11205 on the upside, whereas it has nearest support at 11030 below that it may test 10990-10955-10930 to the downside.

Nifty50 , Nifty Bank , Share market

Bank Nifty:- The banking index rose on positive news get some stability in the short term from downside risk. The index has immediate resistance 25420 above that it may test 25520-25670-25820 in the coming time. Whereas it has nearest support at 25250 below that it may test 25150-25020-24890 to the downside.

USD/INR:- On the Charts, the Currency pair forms a double bottom may trigger to the higher side on rising interest rate policy. The currency pair target 75-76 in the coming time against the US dollar and a vice versa may give some relief in the coming time.

Bottom line: – Moneyites.com recommends buy put option on rise to hedge your portfolio against short term uncertainty.

 

 

 

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Prior To karnataka Polls, Profit Booking Drags Nifty 50 Below The Support Line

By Dinesh Sharma of Moneyites Global Research.

Market Summary:-  NSE Nifty 50 index drops 0.57 % to 10618 on the last trading session of the week. On weaker global Cues, Morning selloff in the Nifty index continues throughout the day to the day low of 10602 while keeping open high same for the day.

On Weekly time frame, The index falls 0.69 % after wiped out early gains of the week. The index has weekly high and low of 10784 and 10602 respectively.

NSE Nifty 50:- On Charts, The Nifty 50 index breached and closed below the short-term rising channel. The Nifty index forms back to back bearish candle on account of profit booking on weaker global cues. The benchmark index has immediate support at 10600 level below that it may retest support level of 10565-10535-10495 in the coming week and it may take resistance at the level of 10660-10710-10765 on the upside.

Nifty 50 index key level to watch is 10500 in the short term. So buy on dips around this level can be a profitable move in the coming time.

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NSE Nifty Bank:-  The Banking index forms a green candle and rose 0.16% in Friday trading to close at 25645.  At the current price, the index is in a consolidation phase and has immediate resistance at 25710 level above that an upside breakout in fashion may trend price up to the level of 25810-25980-26100 in the coming time and it has immediate support at 25530 below that it may retest support level of 25400-25230-25100 to the downside.

BSE Sensex 30:- The BSE main index declined 0.53% to 34915. The index price is in correction phase on account of profit booking. It has immediate support at 34700 level below that it may retest 34490-34230 in the coming week and it may take resistance at 35100 level above that 35225-35400 to the upside.

A prior week to Assembly election in Karnataka expected to add volatility in the market and an up trending Dollar price may add further selling pressure in the near term.

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Nifty Up 0.33%, Bulls Ends Up Winning The Battle.

MARKET SUMMARY: –  Nifty 50 edge up 0.33 % to close at 10245 registered second consecutive gain in the week. The benchmark index opens gap down at 10186 taking weak cues from the global peers, it has then held support at 10171 and after a long tussle bulls end up winning the battle for the day.

With respect to the previous report, I mentioned that Nifty 50 may flirt at the level of 10230 and below that it may touch the level of 10175 and 10140 in the downside. Exactly same happens, As Nifty after opening gap down made the same high of 10229.45 and drag down to 10171 before breaching the level to the higher side.

Nifty 50 10245 :- On charts, Nifty breaks out of the declining trend channel and closed above the downward sloping trend line. RSI current reading at 48 and above 50 it may further strengthen the trend to rally upside in the coming time. 

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If Nifty 50 keeps holding above 10230 then it may target 10270-10350 in the coming time, whereas below the level of 10230 it may take support at 10170 and 10140 in the short run.

Bank Nifty 24510 :- The banking index also hit its given first target in intraday trading as mentioned in the previous report and holds above the level of 24500 on closing. The Bank Nifty index has immediate resistance at 24590-24670-24780 on the upside and it has support at 24430-24330-24200 on the downside

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BOTTOM LINE:- Trading strategy for Nifty traders, “Go long” till Nifty and Bank Nifty holds above the level of 10170 and 24250.

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Nifty50 Below 10k On Global Selloff Triggered By Trade War.

MARKET SUMMARY: – Nifty50 Extended losses in Friday trade to -1.15% to close at 9998. Nifty50 opens gap down in initial trade taking cues from the global peers on trade war fears and later retreats some losses but unable to hold the psychological mark of 10000.

On WoW basis, The Benchmark index slips -1.93% to 9998 and closed below the five months low level amid Trade War Fears.

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In this past week report, I mentioned that this week will set the tone of market direction in the coming time and same has happened and as an addition, not only interest rate but trade war also attribute in setting the tone for the market.

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TECHNICAL COMMENTS: – On the daily chart, The Nifty50 price action broke below the support zone near the 200 Days SMA on Monday trade and a short pullback on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday trade tried to retest the resistance level but failed to hold above it and on Friday a gap down opening and closing below 10000 level give further confirmation of more correction in the short run.

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Currently, Nifty50 hold immediate support at 9950 level and a breakdown may show more correction to 9910-9880-9850-9820 in the downside and vice-versa Nifty50 has immediate resistance at 10045-10070-10110-10140 on the higher side.

BOTTOM LINE:- Trading strategy for Nifty traders,  Selling pressure is existing on a higher level so sell on high and add more position when 9950 is breached and hold.

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Weekly Outlook:-Expiry Week Trade in Nifty.

MARKET SUMMARY: –Nifty 50 Indian Benchmark Index slips -0.88% to close at 10452 on Friday trade. The main index opens gap up but unable to hold the morning gains falls to the day worst level of 10434 before settled down to 10452 for the day.

On WoW basis, The Nifty 50 Index closed flat After a positive start. The benchmark index swings between profit and losses in the week, while selling pressure continue to exist at the higher level.

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TECHNICAL COMMENTS: – On the daily Chart, The Nifty 50 index forms a long bearish candle and engulfed the gains of previous four days. The main index closed on a weak note after facing stiff selling pressure on the higher level.

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On the closing basis of the index, RSI is trading at 39, MACD signs sell crossover with negative divergence and ADX at 28, signs of further weakness if support level to break in the coming time.

For the coming week, Nifty 50 index has crucial resistance at 10620-740 level on the higher side. Whereas the main index has crucial support at 10400 level below which it may slips to 10275-10120 on the downside.

BOTTOM LINE:- Trading strategy for Nifty traders, Nifty to remain volatile. Sell on high till 10740 breaches and hold.

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Reforms Push Nifty To Continue The Dream Run.

MARKET SUMMARY: – The  Indian benchmark index Nifty50 gains 0.72 % to close at 10894 in the last trading session of the week. The Nifty50 Index starts the day on a positive note and builds the gain to hit a record high of 10906 marks before closing in the green.

On Weekly Chart, The Nifty50 Index gain almost 2% and keep the bull run continues. As mentioned in the previous report, Nifty hit all the given targets on the higher side as mention in the previous report after holding the immediate support of 10650 and Bank Nifty Index has also joined the rally and shown upside of around 1200 points in the week.

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TECHNICAL COMMENTS: – On the Daily Chart, The Nifty50 index forms a long bullish candle and closed near the day high. The major index trending in an upside channel and has major support at the lower support line. The RSI stands at 76 level and index price closed well above the SMA of 26 days

Reforms push the benchmark index to continue the dream run.

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The Nifty50 index holds immediate support at 10850 level and positively holding above this may continue the bull rally to 10985-11040 on the higher side. On the contrary, the Nifty50 has important support at 10780-10690 in the short run

BOTTOM LINE:- Trading strategy for Nifty traders, Buy Dips till Nifty index holds above the major support level for weekly trade.

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Weekly Outlook:- Bulls are In charged, Will Bank Nifty Join It?

MARKET SUMMARY: – The Nifty50 Indian benchmark index extends gain 0.28% to close at 10681 on last trading sessions of the week. The Nifty50 index opens gap up 31 points but unable to hold on the early gains drops to the days worst level at 10597 before record high closing ever.

On Weekly time frame, The index starts positively with a gap up opening and have the same open low of 10591 for the week and touching an all-time high of 10690. The index keeps trending in the north in the narrow range and gains more than just a  percent to close in the green.

Strong Global cues and Government move to allow 100 FDI in single brand, set the market tone positive.

TECHNICAL COMMENTS: – On the daily chart, the Nifty50 index trending upside in the narrow range and closed near the all-high level. The Nifty50 index holds crucial support at the lower support line at 10550 level and if continues to hold above it may trend up to 10750-10820 on the higher side. On the contrary nifty has immediate support at 10650 below that it may slip to 10600-10550 level in the coming time.

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Bank Nifty Index NSE India banking index is in a consolidation phase with positive biases. The Index set up on the daily chart is in process of having a big move to come in the coming time. The index holds immediate resistance at 25800 level above that 26100-26400 can be targeted on the higher side. Whereas below the immediate support level of 25650 further corrections to 25450-25300 can be seen.

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BOTTOM LINE:- Trading Strategy for Nifty traders, The bulls have the upper hand if nifty holds above 10550 in the short run. Market to see fresh highs if global cues and bank nifty supports.

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Nifty Weekly Outlook, A Final Outcome From Guj Election Give A Decisive Move.

Moneyites.comMARKET SUMMARY: – On Friday trade,  the Indian benchmark index Nifty ended higher 0.79% to 10333. After taking cues of BJP win in Gujarat from the exit poll on Thursday, the Nifty 50 index open gap up and managed to close in green after holding the early morning gains.

On weekly basis, the main index swings between profit and losses and finally ended in green after adding 68 points to 10333. The Nifty index made weekly high and low of 10373 and 10141 respectively.

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Inflation rose to 8 months high in November at 4.8% and IIP number is lower to 2.2% in October month from 3.8 % in September.

TECHNICAL COMMENTS: – On the daily chart, the Nifty 50 price action forms a small bearish spinning top candle like pattern. The market waits, for now, to get clear confirmation from the outcome of Gujarat exit poll of  BJP wins.

The index price broke and hold above the declining trend channel and a decisive blew of 10410 level may head nifty to touch all-time record level in the short run.

In shorter time frame, The index price closed well above the short and medium term exponential moving average and RSI stands at 61 level.

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A failure to attempt in breaching the level may hold nifty back in the trading range. As a matter of arguments as the price in already factored in taking cues from the pre-election move, followed by a gap up opening on Friday after the outcome of the first phase of the exit poll.

BOTTOM LINE:-  Trading Strategy for Nifty traders, A decisive move above 10410 in Nifty may head for new highs in the short run.

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